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12 Apr 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.0%
Wycombe
27.8%
Draw
22.2%
Stevenage

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Wycombe

vs
0.70

Stevenage

Markets

BTTS34.8%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.556.7%
Over 2.530.7%
Over 3.513.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.8%
0-0
13.3%
1-1
11.5%
0-1
11.2%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
7.7%
3-0
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
0-2
3.6%
3-1
3.2%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).