Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.1%
Cagliari
23.5%
Draw
10.4%
Ternana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Cagliari
vs
0.59
Ternana
Markets
BTTS38.3%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
2-0
14.9%
1-1
10.6%
0-0
9.9%
3-0
9.0%
2-1
8.8%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
4.4%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-2
2.6%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).