Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.9%
Andorra
25.4%
Draw
40.7%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Andorra
vs
1.44
Malaga
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.8%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.6%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).