Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.3%
Dag and Red
28.1%
Draw
41.5%
Forest Green
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Dag and Red
vs
1.43
Forest Green
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
8.3%
1-0
7.6%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
5.3%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).