Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.6%
Oxford
20.3%
Draw
18.0%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Oxford
vs
0.88
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.6%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).