Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.3%
Dunfermline
29.9%
Draw
19.8%
Hamilton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Dunfermline
vs
0.87
Hamilton
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
11.2%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.1%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).