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AHT: 02CSV

13 Apr 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.2%
Ebbsfleet
27.4%
Draw
48.4%
Altrincham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Ebbsfleet

vs
1.56

Altrincham

Markets

BTTS52.0%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
9.1%
0-0
8.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.9%
0-3
4.7%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).