Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.6%
Wolfsburg
27.9%
Draw
35.5%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Wolfsburg
vs
1.32
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
8.5%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
0-0
8.0%
2-0
6.3%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).