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DHT: 02CSV

08 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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66.9%
Heidenheim
20.8%
Draw
12.3%
Braunschweig

Expected Goals (xG)

2.15

Heidenheim

vs
0.82

Braunschweig

Markets

BTTS50.5%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.8%
1-0
10.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
6.0%
4-0
4.5%
2-2
4.0%
4-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
0-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).