Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.8%
Ibiza
27.0%
Draw
35.1%
Villarreal B
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Ibiza
vs
1.20
Villarreal B
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
10.9%
0-1
10.4%
0-0
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).