Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.0%
Betis
25.9%
Draw
22.1%
Vallecano
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Betis
vs
0.93
Vallecano
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).