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02 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.7%
Istra 1961
29.1%
Draw
32.2%
Slaven Koprivnica

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Istra 1961

vs
1.25

Slaven Koprivnica

Markets

BTTS55.2%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
2-1
8.6%
0-0
8.6%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
0-1
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).