Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.7%
Tenerife
28.6%
Draw
37.8%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Tenerife
vs
1.16
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
0-1
12.5%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
10.6%
1-2
7.7%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.0%
0-3
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).