Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.3%
Sampdoria
28.4%
Draw
39.3%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Sampdoria
vs
1.18
Spezia
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
13.0%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
10.6%
1-2
7.9%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).