Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.2%
Brighton
13.8%
Draw
3.9%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
2.61
Brighton
vs
0.48
Norwich
Markets
BTTS35.9%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.537.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.6%
3-0
13.5%
1-0
11.1%
4-0
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
1-1
6.5%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
5.3%
5-0
4.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
2-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).