Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.4%
Dumbarton
28.1%
Draw
46.5%
Forfar
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Dumbarton
vs
1.69
Forfar
Markets
BTTS59.2%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.9%
0-0
7.5%
0-1
7.3%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
1-3
5.3%
1-0
4.7%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).