Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.4%
Alaves
32.2%
Draw
16.4%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Alaves
vs
0.50
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS26.3%
Over 0.580.3%
Over 1.548.0%
Over 2.522.2%
Over 3.58.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
22.4%
0-0
19.7%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
10.9%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-0
4.7%
1-2
2.7%
0-2
2.4%
3-1
2.3%
2-2
1.5%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).