Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.7%
Bradford
25.4%
Draw
21.9%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Bradford
vs
0.85
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-0
10.7%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.7%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.5%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).