Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.7%
Stuttgart
21.1%
Draw
18.1%
Freiburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Stuttgart
vs
1.15
Freiburg
Markets
BTTS61.4%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.565.1%
Over 3.543.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.2%
1-0
7.1%
3-0
6.3%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
0-0
4.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-1
4.0%
4-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).