⚽ FootballData
1 – 1
DHT: 01CSV

04 Dec 2021 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
13.4%
Bielefeld
20.8%
Draw
65.8%
FC Koln

Expected Goals (xG)

0.86

Bielefeld

vs
2.12

FC Koln

Markets

BTTS51.3%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.4%
0-1
10.2%
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
8.1%
1-3
6.9%
0-0
5.7%
0-4
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
2-1
4.0%
1-0
3.7%
1-4
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).