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26 Feb 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.2%
Peterhead
21.7%
Draw
42.1%
Dumbarton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.91

Peterhead

vs
2.06

Dumbarton

Markets

BTTS74.8%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.591.1%
Over 2.575.7%
Over 3.556.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-3
5.0%
3-2
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
0-2
4.0%
2-0
3.4%
0-1
3.4%
3-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).