Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.4%
Monza
15.5%
Draw
77.1%
Como
Expected Goals (xG)
0.55
Monza
vs
2.30
Como
Markets
BTTS38.1%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
15.3%
0-1
13.4%
0-3
11.7%
1-2
8.4%
1-1
7.2%
0-4
6.7%
1-3
6.5%
0-0
5.6%
1-4
3.7%
1-0
3.3%
0-5
3.1%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).