Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.5%
Ebbsfleet
15.8%
Draw
73.7%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Ebbsfleet
vs
2.77
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS59.9%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.589.6%
Over 2.572.7%
Over 3.552.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
8.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-1
6.9%
0-1
5.8%
1-4
5.7%
0-4
5.6%
2-2
4.4%
2-3
4.1%
2-1
3.2%
1-5
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).