Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.8%
Fiorentina
20.8%
Draw
18.5%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Fiorentina
vs
1.01
Benevento
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.0%
2-1
10.0%
2-0
9.9%
1-1
9.7%
3-1
6.7%
3-0
6.6%
0-1
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
1-2
5.0%
0-0
4.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).