Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.7%
Morecambe
21.7%
Draw
58.6%
Milton Keynes Dons
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Morecambe
vs
1.84
Milton Keynes Dons
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-0
6.3%
1-3
6.1%
0-0
5.7%
2-1
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
0-4
2.9%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).