Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.1%
Almeria
17.1%
Draw
13.8%
Eldense
Expected Goals (xG)
2.46
Almeria
vs
1.01
Eldense
Markets
BTTS58.2%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.567.5%
Over 3.545.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.8%
1-0
7.7%
3-0
7.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.8%
4-1
4.8%
4-0
4.7%
3-2
4.0%
1-2
3.9%
0-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).