Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.1%
Kayserispor
34.0%
Draw
33.9%
Kasimpasa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Kayserispor
vs
1.24
Kasimpasa
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.3%
0-0
12.1%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
7.6%
1-0
7.2%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).