Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.4%
Northampton
20.5%
Draw
61.1%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Northampton
vs
1.86
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.8%
0-2
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-0
6.6%
1-3
6.1%
0-0
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
4.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-4
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).