Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.8%
Milton Keynes Dons
22.9%
Draw
30.3%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
1.32
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS59.5%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.535.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.0%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
0-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).