Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.1%
Ashton Athletic
22.8%
Draw
55.1%
Melksham Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Ashton Athletic
vs
1.75
Melksham Town
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.4%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-0
6.7%
0-0
5.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.6%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
3.2%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).