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DHT: 11CSV

26 Feb 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.0%
East Fife
22.2%
Draw
62.8%
Arbroath

Expected Goals (xG)

0.87

East Fife

vs
1.98

Arbroath

Markets

BTTS50.6%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.4%
0-1
10.8%
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
7.5%
1-3
6.5%
0-0
6.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.3%
2-2
4.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-4
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).