Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.4%
Heidenheim
27.5%
Draw
29.2%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Heidenheim
vs
1.22
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS56.5%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.6%
0-0
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).