Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.8%
Stevenage
30.1%
Draw
35.1%
Bolton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Stevenage
vs
0.93
Bolton
Markets
BTTS35.3%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.554.0%
Over 2.528.3%
Over 3.511.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.7%
1-0
15.6%
0-0
14.6%
1-1
12.3%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
2.9%
0-3
2.1%
3-0
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).