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AHT: 02CSV

04 May 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.0%
Queens Park
30.2%
Draw
19.9%
Peterhead

Expected Goals (xG)

1.53

Queens Park

vs
0.89

Peterhead

Markets

BTTS48.5%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
1-0
11.4%
0-0
11.0%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).