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29 Sept 2024 · 10:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.5%
Obolon'
34.4%
Draw
29.1%
Inhulets

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Obolon'

vs
0.80

Inhulets

Markets

BTTS33.6%
Over 0.581.8%
Over 1.551.8%
Over 2.524.9%
Over 3.59.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
18.2%
1-0
16.2%
0-1
13.8%
1-1
13.6%
2-0
7.7%
2-1
6.1%
0-2
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
0-3
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).