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AHT: 01CSV

02 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.3%
Schalke 04
30.8%
Draw
42.9%
Fortuna Dusseldorf

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Schalke 04

vs
1.24

Fortuna Dusseldorf

Markets

BTTS43.3%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
0-1
13.6%
0-0
12.6%
1-0
9.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).