Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.9%
Watford
27.7%
Draw
32.3%
Hull
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Watford
vs
1.27
Hull
Markets
BTTS55.9%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
2-1
8.7%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
0-0
7.7%
0-1
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).