Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.1%
Guimaraes
21.5%
Draw
18.5%
Vizela
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Guimaraes
vs
0.90
Vizela
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.2%
2-0
10.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).