Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.8%
Sampdoria
15.8%
Draw
76.4%
Atalanta
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57
Sampdoria
vs
2.29
Atalanta
Markets
BTTS39.1%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
15.0%
0-1
13.2%
0-3
11.4%
1-2
8.6%
1-1
7.4%
1-3
6.5%
0-4
6.5%
0-0
5.6%
1-4
3.7%
1-0
3.4%
0-5
3.0%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).