Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Boulogne
24.7%
Draw
26.2%
Nancy
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Boulogne
vs
0.96
Nancy
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
1-1
11.5%
0-1
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).