Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.3%
Dortmund
20.3%
Draw
20.3%
Hoffenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
2.34
Dortmund
vs
1.34
Hoffenheim
Markets
BTTS67.1%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.571.1%
Over 3.550.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.4%
3-1
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-0
5.4%
1-0
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-1
4.2%
4-0
3.2%
0-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).