Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.1%
M'gladbach
20.4%
Draw
60.6%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
M'gladbach
vs
2.33
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS65.5%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.569.8%
Over 3.548.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.4%
1-1
8.7%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-2
6.0%
0-3
5.8%
0-1
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
2-3
4.6%
1-4
4.3%
0-4
3.4%
0-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).