Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.8%
Newcastle
29.1%
Draw
25.1%
Crystal Palace
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Newcastle
vs
1.07
Crystal Palace
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).