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DHT: 11CSV

02 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.9%
Fylde
27.5%
Draw
44.5%
Dag and Red

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Fylde

vs
1.51

Dag and Red

Markets

BTTS54.4%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
8.0%
0-2
8.0%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
4.0%
3-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).