Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.5%
Boreham Wood
22.3%
Draw
36.2%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Boreham Wood
vs
1.88
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS74.1%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.590.7%
Over 2.574.6%
Over 3.554.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
3-2
4.9%
2-3
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-0
3.5%
0-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).