Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.3%
Cardiff
20.8%
Draw
19.9%
Stockport
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Cardiff
vs
0.95
Stockport
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.2%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.8%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
4-0
2.9%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).