Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.5%
Altrincham
18.2%
Draw
72.3%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Altrincham
vs
2.32
Notts County
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.536.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.6%
0-1
10.2%
0-3
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
1-1
8.7%
1-3
7.2%
0-4
5.7%
0-0
5.4%
1-4
4.2%
2-2
3.4%
2-1
3.0%
1-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).