Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.5%
Hamilton
28.0%
Draw
20.5%
Aberdeen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Hamilton
vs
0.84
Aberdeen
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
10.8%
0-0
10.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.5%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).