Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.3%
Lille
21.8%
Draw
39.0%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Lille
vs
1.66
Marseille
Markets
BTTS65.3%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.564.8%
Over 3.542.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
1-0
6.5%
0-1
6.5%
2-0
5.0%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
4.6%
3-2
3.8%
2-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).