Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.0%
Napoli
23.3%
Draw
13.8%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Napoli
vs
0.63
Parma
Markets
BTTS37.6%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.0%
2-0
14.0%
1-1
10.3%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
7.8%
0-1
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
3.3%
4-0
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
4-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).